Category: Analysis

The Analysis category will feature publicly available content published by the U.S. Navy. The Americans for a Stronger Navy will review and proviide to its members and subscribers, in-depth analysis, commentary, and insights on the latest developments and issues related to the United States Navy’s strategic direction. The category will cover a wide range of topics, including warfighting, operating forward, readiness, modernization, and people, as well as other issues related to the Navy’s mission and goals. The aim is to provide members and subscribers with valuable information and perspectives that can help them better understand the challenges and opportunities facing the Navy and how Americans for a Stronger Navy is working to support its strategic direction.

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Open Letter to gCaptain: Rallying Americans for a Stronger Navy and Maritime Future

Americans Must Rally: A Call for Accountability, Transparency, Action, and Sustainability in Protecting Our Maritime Future

Dear gCaptain Team, Officers, and Readers,

Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

Your recent article, “Could Trump Rebuild and Repair The U.S. Navy?”, has sparked crucial questions about the future of our Navy and maritime security. We find ourselves in strong agreement with the article’s urgent call for action within the first 100 days of the next administration. While leadership may change, our commitment to a stronger Navy and secure maritime future must remain constant. The need for a comprehensive fleet readiness review, a revitalized industrial base, and a stronger Navy and civilian maritime workforce are clear. These steps underscore the essential measures needed to sustain and fortify our national maritime capabilities.

This mission, however, extends beyond any one administration—it requires enduring bipartisan support and a commitment from all Americans to ensure the resilience and strength of our Navy. As Dale A. Jenkins, Senior Advisor to Americans for a Stronger Navy, Staff Director of the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, and author of Diplomats and Admirals, reminds us,

“True strength isn’t built overnight or through short-term gains. It’s a sustained commitment—one rooted in strategic thinking and a shared vision of America’s future on the world stage.” – Dale A. Jenkins

By fostering a united approach, we can address the challenges our Navy faces and secure a sustainable, long-term future for America’s maritime security.

The Need for Public Trust and Involvement

As the founder of Americans for a Stronger Navy, I share your sense of urgency. Our Navy is underfunded and overstretched, struggling to maintain basic readiness in the face of rising global instability. Yet, the solutions to these challenges lie not only within government circles but also in greater public accountability. To that end, we must actively strengthen trust by engaging informed community who bring credibility and understanding to the table, rather than overwhelming the Navy with generalized public input.

Heightened Threats: Cybersecurity and Misinformation Campaigns

The threats we face today are more immediate and serious than many realize. Adversaries like China, Russia, and Iran have repeatedly demonstrated their willingness to hack critical infrastructure and disrupt telecommunications networks. Recent breaches—such as the infiltration of presidential cell phones and sustained attacks targeting U.S. energy, transportation, and communication systems—highlight the vulnerabilities at our nation’s strategic chokepoints. These adversaries are also engaged in misinformation campaigns aimed at disrupting our elections and undermining public discourse. In these volatile times, protecting the Navy also means protecting the commerce and infrastructure that support our economic security. Our readiness to secure these critical pathways is essential to maintaining both national stability and global trade.

Communicating Threats with Clarity

It’s no secret that Americans are weary of “sky-is-falling” rhetoric. Recent messaging around foreign threats and national security has met with mixed reactions, with figures like Senator Rand Paul raising questions about threat exaggeration and others comparing current concerns to past overhyped crises like Y2K. Yet today’s threats are uniquely layered and immediate; they extend beyond traditional warfare into digital, economic, and strategic domains that impact every American. As Reagan wisely put it,

“Our reluctance for conflict should not be misjudged as a failure of will. When action is required to preserve our national security, we will act.”  – Ronald Reagan 

Overreactions and misdeeds by bad actors have eroded trust, making it crucial that these real and present dangers are communicated with clarity and restraint. Our task, then, is to educate Americans with transparency, balance, and practical information. To do this effectively, we must break out of our silos and work together across organizations, agencies, and forums to foster the lasting support needed for a stronger Navy and a resilient maritime sector.

Building a Sustainable, Long-Term Impact

At Americans for a Stronger Navy, our mission is to educate, engage, and rally Americans around the critical importance of maritime security to national stability and prosperity. We believe the key to lasting impact lies in building a “groundswell of support” from the American people. History shows us the importance of such buy-in; Reagan’s successful naval expansion during the Cold War was driven by bipartisan support and public backing, creating a sustainable, long-term defense initiative. As Reagan once said,

“Strength is the most persuasive argument we have to convince our adversaries to negotiate seriously and to cease bullying other nations.”-  Ronald Reagan

While the president undoubtedly influences these decisions, we know from experience that initiatives without public buy-in and congressional support are destined to struggle. Americans also need a clearer understanding of what’s at stake and why these actions matter.

Our Path Forward

  • Engaging Veteran Groups and Nonprofit Organizations: We propose enlisting veteran groups, nonprofits, and civic organizations to help bridge the gap between the Navy and the American public. These groups offer credibility and firsthand experience, helping Americans understand the Navy’s role beyond headlines and defense budgets. Their connection to local communities is invaluable in turning national support into local action.
  • A Smarter, More Comprehensive Public Strategy: Rather than working in silos, we must consider the taxpayer in every recommendation. Americans are fatigued with crisis messaging, so our approach must be nuanced, practical, and respectful of their investment. Taxpayers need to see where their support goes, with a clear view of how a stronger Navy directly contributes to national and economic security.
  • Fostering Long-Term, Congressional Support and Collaboration: Rallying Americans for a stronger Navy isn’t about party lines—it’s about protecting our nation’s future. To achieve this, we must create a platform that prioritizes transparency, accountability, and citizen engagement. Such a united approach can help avoid politicizing the Navy, reinforcing that naval readiness is a shared national responsibility that resonates beyond any one administration.
  • Expanding on gCaptain’s Key Recommendations:
    • Comprehensive Fleet Readiness Review: We support a thorough review of our fleet, shipyards, and industrial base, with an eye toward transparency. Bringing in a volunteer committee of former Navy personnel could lend critical insights, ensuring the review captures both strategic needs and firsthand realities.
    • Halting Early Decommissioning: Rather than prematurely retiring ships, we need creative, cost-effective solutions to extend their service. Involving experienced veterans and industry experts can provide valuable perspectives on this approach, minimizing strategic gaps.
    • Building a Stronger Maritime Workforce: We echo the call for a revitalized maritime workforce but stress that this must come with taxpayer accountability and public support.

An American Imperative

This is not a left or right initiative—it is an American imperative. As John F. Kennedy wisely said, “Let us not seek the Republican answer or the Democratic answer, but the right answer.” Today, we echo that call for unity. The threats we face are larger than many realize, and we cannot afford to let partisan divisions stand in the way of building the Navy we need. We call for community leaders to unite under a common voice, advocating for a stronger Navy, greater accountability, and a sustainable foundation for our maritime security. By fostering long-term resilience and preparedness, together, we can protect our maritime future for generations to come.

Sincerely,
Bill Cullifer
Founder, Americans for a Stronger Navy

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Open Letter to Dov S. Zakheim: Addressing the U.S. Navy’s Submarine Shortage

USS Idaho (SSN-799)

From the desk of Bill Cullifer, Founder of Americans for a Stronger Navy

Dear Mr. Zakheim,

I recently read your opinion piece in The Hill on October 18, 2024, titled “How the Navy Can Solve Its Submarine Shortage,” with great interest. Dov S. Zakheim, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and vice chairman of the board for the Foreign Policy Research Institute, brings unparalleled expertise to this discussion. As a former undersecretary of Defense (comptroller) and chief financial officer for the Department of Defense from 2001 to 2004, as well as deputy undersecretary of Defense from 1985 to 1987, your insights on defense spending, strategic planning, and military capabilities are invaluable in understanding the complexities of the U.S. Navy’s submarine deficit. 

The challenges the Navy faces in maintaining and expanding its submarine force are central to the security and operational effectiveness of the United States and its allies. At Americans for a Stronger Navy, we have long advocated for solutions to bolster our naval capabilities in light of growing global threats.

Your analysis of the potential for non-nuclear alternatives, including unmanned submarines and diesel-electric options, highlights viable paths for supplementing our fleet. However, after discussing these ideas with Captain Brent Sadler, U.S. Navy (Retired), Senior Fellow for Naval Warfare and Advanced Technology at The Heritage Foundation, a 26-year Navy veteran with extensive operational experience on nuclear-powered submarines and author of U.S. Naval Power in the 21st Century: A New Strategy for Facing the Chinese and Russian Threat, we are convinced that while these alternatives may fill certain gaps, they fall short of meeting the United States’ broader strategic needs. As Captain Sadler pointed out, “only nuclear-powered submarines possess the range, endurance, and strategic capabilities necessary to project power and safeguard the distant maritime choke points critical to both American and Australian interests.” This reality remains just as pertinent today as it was when Australia evaluated its own submarine needs decades ago.

The U.S. Navy’s dependence on nuclear-powered submarines stems not just from their superior endurance but from their ability to maintain forward presence in vital regions like the Indo-Pacific, where distances and operational demands far exceed the capabilities of diesel-electric subs. While unmanned systems like the Manta Ray and smaller ISR variants may enhance the fleet’s flexibility, they cannot replace the strategic depth provided by manned, nuclear-powered vessels.

Moreover, the capital infusion from Australia under the AUKUS agreement is a critical step toward increasing the production rates of Virginia-class submarines. Yet, as you astutely noted, even with this funding, workforce and industrial base shortages present formidable hurdles. The U.S. Navy must prioritize workforce development and shipyard modernization to accelerate production timelines and meet both our own force requirements and our commitments to allies like Australia.

At Americans for a Stronger Navy, we believe in advocating for a multifaceted approach—one that includes continued investments in nuclear-powered submarines, increased collaboration with our allies, and targeted support for the U.S. industrial base to reduce delays in production. This will allow us to respond effectively to the twin challenges posed by China and Russia, while also maintaining readiness in other volatile regions like the Middle East.

In conclusion, while unmanned and non-nuclear options can and should play a role in the future of undersea warfare, nuclear submarines remain the backbone of our strategy. We must remain steadfast in building and maintaining a fleet capable of meeting the global challenges of the 21st century.

Thank you again for your insightful analysis, and I look forward to further discussions on this critical topic.

Sincerely,
Bill Cullifer
Founder, Americans for a Stronger Navy

Note: I am not a paid spokesperson for any organization. My statements reflect my personal commitment to strengthening the U.S. Navy and advocating on behalf of those who serve.

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Navy’s Project 33: A Bold Push for Modernization and Preparedness by 2027

Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

The U.S. Navy is at a critical juncture. Faced with increasing global threats and a rapidly modernizing Chinese military, the Navy’s leadership is taking bold steps to ensure it is ready for future challenges. Central to these efforts is Project 33, an ambitious initiative spearheaded by Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Lisa Franchetti. With a clear deadline of 2027, Project 33 aims to equip the Navy with cutting-edge robotic systems, ensure readiness through ship and submarine maintenance, and boost recruitment and retention, all while addressing budgetary constraints.

A Strategic Focus on China

The Chinese military, under President Xi Jinping, has been directed to be ready for conflict by 2027—potentially over Taiwan or other strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific. As the world’s second-largest Navy, China’s growing fleet and multi-domain capabilities present a significant challenge for the U.S. Navy. However, as Adm. Franchetti’s recently released Navigation Plan outlines, it’s not just about fleet size anymore.

Gone are the days when naval power was measured simply by the number of ships. Instead, the threat posed by China is more complex, spanning multiple domains, including cyber warfare, economic strategies, and the development of dual-use infrastructure like airfields and civilian vessels repurposed for military use. In response, the Navy is evolving to counter this diverse array of threats by incorporating advanced technologies, such as unmanned systems and artificial intelligence (AI), into its operations.

Project 33: Preparing for the Future

At the heart of Franchetti’s strategy is Project 33, a forward-looking plan that seeks to ensure the Navy is ready for any potential conflict by 2027. This initiative centers on several key goals:

  • Scaling Robotic and Autonomous Systems: The Navy recognizes that it cannot quickly build enough traditional ships to match China’s growing fleet. Instead, it’s turning to robotic and autonomous platforms that can expand its warfighting capacity at a lower cost. These systems not only keep sailors out of harm’s way but also create a more agile and flexible force. By 2027, Franchetti plans to integrate these capabilities into all deploying Carrier and Expeditionary Strike Groups.
  • Combat-Ready by 2027: Franchetti’s Navigation Plan calls for the Navy to be prepared for war, particularly focusing on countering China’s growing naval presence. Through Project 33, the Navy aims to have a hybrid fleet of both manned and unmanned systems fully operational in key mission areas, including surveillance, fires, logistics, and networking.
  • Information Dominance: As modern warfare increasingly revolves around data, the Navy is prioritizing the ability to collect, analyze, and share critical information across fleets. With the development of new Maritime Operations Centers (MOCs) and integration into the broader U.S. military’s Joint All-Domain Command and Control (CJADC2) system, the Navy will be better positioned to make real-time, data-driven decisions that can turn the tide of battle.

Facing Financial Constraints

Adm. Franchetti has been clear about the financial challenges the Navy faces. While these modernization efforts are essential, the Navy’s ability to meet its goals depends on securing the necessary budget to maintain both its current operations and future development. Without this support, the Navy will face “deep strategic constraints,” limiting its ability to defend U.S. interests and protect allies in key regions like the Indo-Pacific.

But Franchetti’s Navigation Plan doesn’t shy away from these realities. Instead, it sets clear, achievable goals, such as reducing maintenance delays for ships, submarines, and aircraft, while advocating for the resources needed to build a future-ready Navy.

The Broader Threat Landscape

While much of the focus is on China, the Navigation Plan also acknowledges other growing threats. From a “wounded and isolated” but still dangerous Russia, to Iranian-backed forces like the Houthis, to ongoing instability in the Middle East, the Navy must be prepared to address multiple challenges across the globe. The threats extend below the surface, with recent attacks on undersea pipelines and cables highlighting the vulnerabilities of seabed infrastructure.

These threats underscore the importance of Project 33’s goals: a fleet that’s ready for war, equipped with the latest technologies, and capable of responding to diverse threats across multiple domains.

A Call to Action

As the Navy accelerates its efforts to meet the demands of a complex global landscape, Americans must rally behind the men and women who serve. Adm. Franchetti’s Navigation Plan is a clear-eyed assessment of the challenges we face and a roadmap for ensuring the Navy is ready to meet them head-on. But the Navy can’t do it alone. It requires not only adequate funding and resources but also the full support of the American public.

Through Project 33, the Navy is poised to lead in the fight for peace and security, leveraging cutting-edge technologies and operational innovations. As we look to the future, it’s essential that we, as a nation, understand the importance of these efforts and stand behind our Navy as it prepares for the challenges ahead.

Together, we can ensure that the U.S. Navy remains a powerful force for good, ready to respond to crises and defend freedom on the world’s oceans.

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U.S. Naval News Weekly Roundup: September 4–11, 2024

MQ-25 Stingray drone
Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

This week’s U.S. Navy news brings a blend of operational updates, collaborations with allies, and internal disciplinary actions, showcasing the Navy’s relentless focus on readiness, accountability, and international cooperation. From critical exercises in the Indo-Pacific to high-stakes rescues in the Pacific, the Navy’s efforts are making waves both at home and abroad.

U.S. Navy Global Engagement and Readiness

1. U.S. Navy Rescues Two Ahead of Hurricane Gilma

In a daring operation, the USS William P. Lawrence (DDG-110) rescued a woman and her seven-year-old daughter from a disabled yacht, Albroc, in the Pacific Ocean just hours ahead of Hurricane Gilma. Coordinating with the U.S. Coast Guard, the destroyer’s small-boat team braved worsening weather to retrieve the survivors, their pet cat, and a tortoise. Unfortunately, the yacht’s skipper, reported deceased, could not be recovered due to the incoming storm.

2. South Korean Shipyard Delivers Maintenance Services for U.S. Navy Vessel

On September 2, a U.S. Navy vessel underwent maintenance, repair, and overhaul at a South Korean shipyard, marking the first time such services have been provided by a foreign facility. This step emphasizes growing collaboration between the U.S. and its global partners to strengthen naval capabilities.

Operations and Exercises

3. USS Bataan Amphibious Readiness Group Conducts Exercises in the Mediterranean

The USS Bataan Amphibious Readiness Group, alongside the 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit, recently carried out exercises in the Mediterranean Sea. These operations are key to ensuring combat readiness and enhancing interoperability with NATO allies, reinforcing regional stability.

4. U.S. Forces Participate in Exercise Ssang Yong 2024

The U.S. Navy and Marine Corps joined forces with the Republic of Korea and the United Kingdom for the biennial Exercise Ssang Yong 2024. Taking place from August 26 to September 7 in South Korea, the exercise featured large-scale amphibious and airborne operations aimed at enhancing the combined defensive posture on the Korean Peninsula. This year’s exercise was notable for the deployment of the U.S. Marine Corps’ Amphibious Combat Vehicle in Korean waters for the first time.

5. USS Hawaii Completes Historic Submarine Maintenance in Australia

The USS Hawaii (SSN-776) made history this week, departing from HMAS Stirling in Western Australia after completing the first-ever joint American-Australian submarine maintenance operation in Australian waters. This major milestone is part of the AUKUS Pillar 1 initiative to establish a sovereign nuclear-powered submarine force for Australia by the 2030s.

Innovation and Technology

6. Navy Tests New MQ-25 Stingray Drone with Carrier Operations

The U.S. Navy has continued testing its cutting-edge MQ-25 Stingray drone on aircraft carriers, aiming to revolutionize naval aviation. The uncrewed aerial refueling drone is set to extend the operational range of U.S. Navy fighter jets, opening new capabilities for long-range missions.

7. U.S. Navy Chiefs Caught Operating Unauthorized Starlink Network

In a shocking revelation, 17 members of the chief’s mess aboard the USS Manchester (LCS-14) were caught operating an unauthorized Starlink Wifi network on the ship, breaking Navy communication regulations. This secret network, installed for personal use, posed a significant security risk. The chiefs involved, led by Command Senior Chief Grisel Marrero, were demoted and faced administrative punishment.

International Partnerships

8. Argentina Joins Combined Maritime Forces

Argentina officially became the 46th member of the Combined Maritime Forces (CMF), the world’s largest maritime security partnership. This historic move strengthens Argentina’s role in global maritime security, particularly in anti-piracy and counterterrorism efforts across critical shipping lanes.

9. Exercise Kakadu 2024 Begins in Australia

The Royal Australian Navy, U.S. Navy, and forces from nine other nations kicked off Exercise Kakadu 2024 in Darwin, Australia. This multinational maritime and air exercise, running from September 9-20, enhances regional cooperation and maritime security while offering valuable training for participating forces.

Security and Deterrence

10. USS Georgia Arrives in Middle East to Deter Iran

The guided-missile submarine USS Georgia (SSGN-729) has arrived in the Middle East as part of a show of force directed at Iran. Armed with over 150 Tomahawk land-attack cruise missiles, the Ohio-class submarine brings substantial firepower to the region amid heightened tensions with Iran and ongoing military support for U.S. allies, including Israel.

11. U.S. Navy Medical Teams Conduct Critical Research in Australia

U.S. Navy medical personnel, alongside Marines from MRF-D 24.3, collected air and soil samples across Australian military bases and Papua New Guinea. This research, aimed at identifying dangerous bacteria like Burkholderia pseudomallei, is part of ongoing efforts to ensure the health and safety of military personnel operating in tropical environments. The data will contribute to long-term studies to reduce health risks in the Indo-Pacific region.

China Watch

China remained focused on strengthening its naval presence in the South China Sea. Reports suggest ongoing activity near disputed areas, with China reinforcing its maritime militia and increasing military patrols. The continued fortification of artificial islands and military installations underscores Beijing’s strategic goals to assert control over vital sea lanes.

Russia Watch

Russia conducted naval exercises in the Arctic this week, highlighting the increasing militarization of the region. The Kremlin also announced new partnerships with other nations to develop its navy further, despite facing economic constraints from ongoing sanctions. These moves are seen as part of Russia’s broader effort to project power across multiple theaters, including the Black Sea and Mediterranean.

Iran Watch

Tensions with Iran remain high following the arrival of the USS Georgia in the Middle East. Iran has responded with increased rhetoric, warning against U.S. military actions in the region. Meanwhile, Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen have continued their missile and drone attacks on shipping lanes in the Red Sea, prompting further U.S. naval action to secure these critical maritime routes.

That’s all for this week’s Navy news. Stay tuned for more updates next week, and as always, support the men and women who serve in the U.S. Navy.

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Confronting the Constellation Class Frigate Delays

Rendering of USS Constellation (FFG-62). Fincantieri Image

Guest Commentary by Captain David Lennon, USNR (Ret.)

The recent directive from the Senate Armed Services Committee, calling for the U.S. Navy to explore alternative missile-armed ship options, highlights a significant issue: the persistent delays and design challenges with the Constellation class frigate program. As a retired Navy captain, I have witnessed firsthand the impact of such delays on our fleet’s readiness and capability. The committee’s concern is not unfounded, and their call for a “highly producible small surface combatant study” is a necessary step to address the near-term gaps in our naval capabilities.

The Constellation class frigates, envisioned as a modern and versatile addition to the Navy’s fleet, have been plagued by extensive changes to their core design. These modifications have resulted in a projected three-year delay for the delivery of the first ship, the USS Constellation, and similar delays for subsequent ships in the class. Such setbacks not only strain the Navy’s resources but also undermine our strategic readiness, especially in light of the ongoing naval buildup by the People’s Republic of China.

In response to these challenges, the committee has proposed exploring the feasibility of arming other types of ships with missile systems, including large uncrewed surface vessels (LUSVs), amphibious warfare ships, and auxiliary support vessels. This approach could provide a more immediate solution to increase our fleet’s missile-launching capacity. Additionally, the idea of adapting commercial hulls or existing Navy ships with bolt-on or containerized missile launchers presents a practical and cost-effective alternative to waiting for the delayed frigates.

The committee’s report also highlights a broader concern: the projected decline in the number of Navy battle force ships and fleet-wide vertical launch system (VLS) capacity between now and 2027. With the retirement of Ticonderoga class cruisers and Ohio class guided missile submarines, the Navy is facing a significant reduction in its missile-launching platforms. The planned acquisition of new destroyers and uncrewed surface vessels aims to fill this gap, but these solutions are not without their own challenges and timelines.

To address the immediate needs, the committee has outlined specific points for the Navy to study, including the feasibility of a crewed variant of the LUSV and the adaptation of foreign, commercial, or U.S. Government ship designs for missile deployment. This pragmatic approach acknowledges the constraints of the current supply chain and industrial base, while also emphasizing the need for rapid fielding and cost-effective solutions.

The Constellation class frigate program’s delays underscore the complexity and risks associated with modern naval shipbuilding. However, the proactive steps proposed by the Senate Armed Services Committee offer a path forward to mitigate these issues. By exploring alternative platforms and leveraging existing technologies, the Navy can enhance its missile-launching capacity and maintain its strategic advantage.

In conclusion, the committee’s directive represents a critical intervention at a time when our naval capabilities are being closely scrutinized. As we navigate these challenges, it is imperative that the Navy remains adaptable and innovative, ensuring that we continue to meet the demands of an increasingly complex maritime environment.

Captain David Lennon, USNR (Ret.) served in the U.S. Navy for over 30 years, with extensive experience in surface warfare and naval operations.

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Ocean Shipping Disruptions and Their Economic Impact on Americans

Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

Introduction

As the founder of Americans for a Stronger Navy, I have encountered a few pushback from those who believe that the need for a stronger Navy is overstated and that current global situations are someone else’s problem. This perspective overlooks the critical role that a robust Navy plays in safeguarding our economic interests and national security. In light of recent disruptions in ocean shipping, it is crucial to understand why the vast majority of Americans support a stronger Navy and how it impacts our daily lives.

Why This Matters

Global supply chains are intricately connected, and disruptions in one part of the world can have far-reaching impacts. The Red Sea, a critical maritime route, has recently seen increased attacks, forcing vessels to divert and causing gridlock at key ports such as Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea, China, and parts of Europe. This congestion is reminiscent of the chaos experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the repercussions are already being felt across the logistics and shipping industries.

Key Takeaways

  1. Rising Shipping Costs: The diversions and delays are leading to increased shipping costs. With vessels stuck waiting for berths and navigating longer routes, the cost of transporting goods is climbing rapidly.
  2. Port Congestion: Ports are struggling to manage the influx of containers, leading to long wait times and operational inefficiencies. This congestion exacerbates delays and adds to the overall costs of shipping goods.
  3. Supply Chain Delays: As ports become bottlenecks, the timely delivery of goods is compromised. This affects the availability of products on store shelves, especially as we head into the holiday season, traditionally a peak period for consumer spending.Implications for the U.S. Navy

Implications for the U. S. Navy

Drawing from Alfred Mahan’s principles of sea power, the current instability in the Red Sea underscores the importance of maintaining control over critical maritime routes. The U.S. Navy’s presence in these regions ensures the security of trade routes, thereby safeguarding the global economy and national interests. Mahan emphasized that control of the seas, especially through a formidable navy, is crucial not only for wartime dominance but also for peacetime economic influence.

Implications for America

The economic implications of these disruptions are multifaceted:

  1. Increased Consumer Prices: The rising costs of shipping are often passed down to consumers. Whether it’s electronics, clothing, or everyday household items, Americans will likely see higher prices at the checkout counter.
  2. Inflationary Pressures: As transportation costs rise, so do the prices of goods. This can contribute to broader inflationary pressures, impacting the overall cost of living.
  3. Business Costs: Companies that rely on imported goods face higher operational costs. These businesses may need to increase prices to maintain margins, further affecting consumer prices.
  4. Supply Chain Reliability: The reliability of supply chains is crucial for economic stability. Persistent delays and disruptions can lead to stock shortages, affecting businesses’ ability to meet consumer demand and potentially leading to lost sales and revenue.

Lessons from Alfred Mahan

Nicholas Lambert’s book, “The Neptune Factor,” reexamines Mahan’s theories, arguing that sea power is not just about military might but also economic influence. Alfred Thayer Mahan, a prominent American naval officer and historian, is best known for his influential book, “The Influence of Sea Power upon History, 1660–1783.” Mahan’s groundbreaking ideas emphasized the strategic importance of a formidable naval presence to deter potential adversaries and ensure economic prosperity through control of maritime trade routes. Lambert emphasizes the need to integrate new technologies, such as cybersecurity and unmanned vehicles, and address environmental threats to maintain maritime dominance and economic security.

What Can Be Done?

To mitigate these impacts, several measures can be taken:

  1. Diversifying Supply Chains: Companies can explore alternative routes and suppliers to reduce dependency on any single shipping lane.
  2. Investing in Infrastructure: Enhancing port infrastructure and technology can improve efficiency and reduce congestion.
  3. Policy Measures: Governments can play a role in ensuring maritime security and supporting international efforts to stabilize regions like the Red Sea.

Conclusion

Current disruptions in ocean shipping underscore the vulnerability of global supply chains to geopolitical events. As Americans, understanding these connections is crucial. The economic ripple effects—from increased consumer prices to broader inflationary pressures—highlight the importance of resilient and adaptive strategies in both business and policy.

By addressing these challenges proactively, we can better navigate the complexities of a globalized economy and ensure stability and prosperity for all.

Drawing from Mahan’s insights, we must recognize that sea power encompasses both military strength and economic influence. Maintaining a robust naval presence and addressing modern challenges is essential for safeguarding our economic security and way of life.

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Defending Allies: USS Ronald Reagan’s Mission to Secure the Philippine Sea Amid Rising Tensions


USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76)

Defending Allies: USS Ronald Reagan’s Mission to Secure the Philippine Sea Amid Rising Tensions

Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

Recent injuries inflicted on Filipino fishermen by Chinese forces in the shoals underscore the increasing tensions in the Philippine Sea. As these events unfold, the U.S. Navy’s forward-deployed carrier, the USS Ronald Reagan, plays a crucial role in maintaining regional stability and providing a deterrent against potential Chinese aggression.

The Strategic Importance of the USS Ronald Reagan

The USS Ronald Reagan, stationed in the Pacific, is undergoing resupply and refueling to extend its deterrence missions in the Philippine Sea. This action highlights the Pentagon’s commitment to a continued forward presence amid the escalating U.S.-China tensions. The strategic placement of the Reagan ensures that the U.S. can project significant air attack power throughout the region, protecting allies like the Philippines from potential threats.

The Threat of a “Fait Accompli” Scenario

A significant concern is the possibility of a “fait accompli” scenario, where China might quickly annex the Philippines or Taiwan before an allied response can be mobilized. This scenario is particularly worrying given China’s ongoing military maneuvers and blockades of small Philippine fishing boats. Kris Osborn noted, “Operating as a floating city with thousands of sailors and hundreds of attack planes and helicopters, the USS Ronald Reagan is likely having its deployment extended to ensure critical ‘proximity’.”

U.S. Support for the Philippines

The United States stands with its ally the Philippines and condemns the escalatory and irresponsible actions by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to deny the Philippines from lawfully delivering humanitarian supplies to service members stationed at the BRP Sierra Madre. Department Spokesperson Matthew Miller stated, “PRC vessels’ dangerous and deliberate use of water cannons, ramming, blocking maneuvers, and towing damaged Philippine vessels endangered the lives of Philippine service members, is reckless, and threatens regional peace and stability.”

The U.S. reaffirms that Article IV of the 1951 United States-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty extends to armed attacks on Philippine armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft – including those of its Coast Guard – anywhere in the South China Sea. Miller reiterated, “The United States reaffirms that Article IV of the 1951 United States-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty extends to armed attacks on Philippine armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft – including those of its Coast Guard – anywhere in the South China Sea.”

The Role of Carrier Strike Groups

The Reagan’s ability to deploy 5th-generation aircraft within striking distance of Chinese forces is a key element of the U.S. defense strategy. These aircraft can achieve air supremacy, significantly reducing the effectiveness of any Chinese military operation. The presence of the Reagan also ensures that the U.S. can quickly respond to any sudden moves by China, maintaining a balance of power in the region. Derek Grossman emphasized, “Manila is pressing forward with three other efforts… deepening its alliance with Washington, forging ahead on security drills and agreements with other countries in the region, and adopting a strategy of ‘assertive transparency’ toward Chinese encroachments.”

Commentary

As the founder of Americans for a Stronger Navy, I believe in peace and peace through strength. Diplomacy is essential, but there comes a time when we must draw a line in the sand and take action. I firmly believe that China will continue its aggression and other nefarious deeds until it is stopped. If they want war, then they better be prepared for one. It is crucial for the American public to engage and support the Navy. Internal conflict among ourselves only plays into the hands of our adversaries, which is a tactic straight out of the communist handbook.

Conclusion

The extended deployment of the USS Ronald Reagan in the Philippine Sea is a clear signal of the U.S. commitment to defending its allies and maintaining stability in the region. As tensions continue to rise, the Reagan’s presence is more critical than ever in preventing a potential crisis and ensuring the security of the Philippines.

By reinforcing our naval capabilities and maintaining a robust presence, we can deter aggression and protect the freedoms and security of our allies in the Indo-Pacific region. The injuries sustained by Filipino fishermen and the aggressive actions against the BRP Sierra Madre remind us of the real and present threats posed by Chinese expansionism, and underscore the necessity of a strong and ready U.S. Navy.

Sources:

  1. Osborn, K. (2024, June 17). Defending the Philippines? USS Ronald Reagan Re-Supplied & Extended in Philippine Sea. Warrior Maven.
  2. Miller, M. (2024, June 17). U.S. Support for the Philippines in the South China Sea. U.S. State Department.
  3. Grossman, D. (2024, May 29). How to Respond to China’s Tactics in the South China Sea. Foreign Policy.

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Debunking the USS Eisenhower Damage Claims After Houthi Strike Allegations

Introduction

In the realm of modern conflict, misinformation spreads almost as rapidly as the events themselves. A recent case involves claims by Yemeni Houthi rebels that they successfully struck the U.S. aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea. These assertions were quickly debunked by multiple sources, yet they highlight the challenge of distinguishing fact from fiction in real-time.

The Allegations

Last Friday, Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree announced that missile strikes had targeted the USS Eisenhower. This announcement was followed by a second claim the next day, suggesting a “second targeting operation against the carrier during the past 24 hours” according to Reuters.

Thek Spread of Misinformation

Following these announcements, images began circulating online purporting to show the damage inflicted on the Eisenhower. A notable post on X (formerly Twitter) by user @iAmTheWarax claimed, “CONFIRMED: uss eisenhower (pictured docked for repairs in souda bay) hit and severely damaged by multiple houthi ballistic missiles.” This post included a satellite picture of a docked ship. Another post by @Alhussaini21S, viewed over 2.6 million times, showed what appeared to be an aircraft carrier with a large black mark on its runway.

The Reality

A thorough fact-check by Newsweek dismantled these claims. The images shared were not of the Eisenhower in the Red Sea. One image was of the Russian aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov docked in Murmansk, Russia. The other was a doctored image of the Eisenhower docked in Norfolk, Virginia. The Pentagon confirmed there had been no strikes on the Eisenhower or the Norfolk port.

Further, Chinese satellite images dated June 4 showed the USS Eisenhower moving southward in the Red Sea without any visible damage, reinforcing the Pentagon’s position.

The Broader Context

The conflict between the Houthis and the Saudi-led coalition, supported by the U.S. and the U.K., has been ongoing since 2015. The recent Houthi claims emerged as part of retaliatory actions against strikes conducted by U.S. and U.K. forces on Houthi positions in Yemen.

Despite the assertions of direct hits on the Eisenhower and its escorts, U.S. Central Command reported that all Houthi munitions had been intercepted. No damage or injuries were reported on any U.S. vessel, further debunking the Houthi’s claims.

Conclusion

In an age where misinformation can easily overshadow reality, it is crucial to rely on verified sources and official statements. The false claims regarding the USS Eisenhower underscore the importance of critical evaluation of news, especially during conflicts. The Eisenhower remains operational, continuing its mission in the Red Sea, undeterred by the baseless allegations of damage.

By staying informed through credible sources, we can better navigate the complexities of modern-day conflicts and the accompanying flood of information, both true and false.

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A Call for Unity and Urgency: Addressing America’s Security Challenges

In his recent piece, “America Hits the Global Snooze Button” in The Wall Street Journal, Walter Russell Mead, the James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College and a scholar at the Hudson Institute underscores the critical nature of current global threats, echoing a sentiment that I wholeheartedly share. The urgency cannot be overstated: China’s aggressive expansion, Russia’s advances in Ukraine, and Iran’s destabilizing actions in the Middle East constitute a significant and multifaceted threat to global stability. This demands stronger U.S. armed forces to counter these threats effectively.

The situation around Taiwan, the South China Sea and the Philippines exemplifies the complexities we face. China’s assertive territorial claims and militarization of the region threaten not only our allies but also global trade routes. It necessitates a stronger U.S. naval presence and support for regional partners. The Middle East is increasingly volatile and involves contested waters of the eastern Mediterranean, the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf.  The U.S. Navy is the only effective naval force to counter the threats there and it is stretched thin.

Moreover, it is alarming to consider that our defense systems have potentially been compromised, which could be construed as an act of war. Yet, many Americans remain oblivious to these dangers, and who can blame them? After decades of conflict with little to show for it, the American public feels disillusioned, cheated, and exhausted. They see corruption and self-interest within the military-industrial complex and feel that politicians are complicit in perpetuating these issues.

The prevailing sentiment of mistrust extends to the government itself. Some argue for a more isolationist approach, focusing solely on defending our shores, while others, particularly younger generations, feel disenfranchised and disconnected from these geopolitical issues. This disconnect is further exacerbated by a widespread lack of historical knowledge, a consequence of its declining emphasis in our education system.

The threat of Chinese cyberattacks on global infrastructure is a significant concern. Chinese state-sponsored hacking has emerged as a critical global threat, targeting vital infrastructure across multiple nations. Recent reports reveal that Chinese military hackers have infiltrated Japan’s defense networks since 2020, accessing classified information about military capabilities and strategic plans. This breach, discovered by the U.S. National Security Agency, highlights the deep and persistent nature of Chinese cyber espionage. Despite efforts to secure these systems, the continued breaches underscore the sophistication and persistence of Chinese cyber capabilities. Additionally, China-based hackers have targeted U.S. government agencies, including the State and Commerce Departments, and critical sectors like transportation and utilities. These attacks are part of a broader strategy to gain access to sensitive information and disrupt vital infrastructure.

Additionally, recent reports indicate a troubling rise in cyberattacks against our critical infrastructure, including water supplies, by actors linked to China, Russia, and Iran. These cyberattacks do not just target water utilities but extend to other critical infrastructure, telecommunications networks, and security systems. They can disrupt access to essential services, steal intellectual property, and undermine our trade networks. The increasing frequency and sophistication of these attacks pose a significant threat to our national security and economic stability.

While Mead raises valid points about the severity of the threats we face, his politicization of the issue is counterproductive. The truth is, there is ample blame to go around, and what we need now more than ever is education and transparency. Americans deserve to understand the stakes and be assured of the integrity of those advocating for stronger defense measures. This is not a right versus left issue—it’s an American issue that requires a united, all-hands-on-deck approach.

A key mission of Americans for a Stronger Navy is to educate the public about these security challenges and the need for a stronger Navy. By fostering a national dialogue, we can bridge the gap between policymakers and the public, fostering mutual understanding and engagement. It is also crucial to emphasize the need for bipartisan cooperation in addressing these threats. A unified approach is necessary to effectively respond to the complex and evolving global security landscape.

In sum, the threats are indeed formidable, but trust is in short supply. Addressing this requires a commitment to honesty and clarity from our leaders, ensuring that the American public is both informed and engaged in the security decisions that will shape our future.

Thanks for listening.

Bill,
Americans for a Stronger Navy

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AI in Naval Warfare – From Logistics to Combat Strategy

Introduction from Americans for a Stronger Navy:

Bill Cullifer

Hello, Bill Cullifer here with Americans for a Stronger Navy. Welcome to our inaugural episode of this enlightening series where we delve into transformative technologies reshaping naval operations. Throughout this series, we will explore various cutting-edge topics, including AI, unmanned systems, Directed Energy Weapons, cyber warfare, and more. Today, we begin with the crucial role of Artificial Intelligence in naval warfare.

Series Outline:

  1. AI in Naval Warfare – This episode.
  2. Uncrewed Systems – How drones and autonomous vehicles are changing naval tactics.
  3. Directed Energy Weapons – The future of combat with lasers and high-energy systems.
  4. Cyber and Electronic Warfare – Securing supremacy in digital battlefields.
  5. Future Naval Strategies – Integrating new tech into traditional naval doctrines.

Overview: The Strategic Importance of AI in Military Operations AI’s role in military operations extends from enhancing logistical support to refining combat strategies. Its integration into naval operations promises significant advancements in operational efficiency and tactical decision-making.

Interview Segment: Insights from Admiral James Stavridis

We feature key insights from Admiral Stavridis during his interview with Fareed Zakaria on GPS. His expertise illuminates AI’s potential in transforming naval capabilities.

  • Logistics and Maintenance: AI’s predictive capabilities ensure higher readiness and efficiency.
  • Strategic Decision-Making: AI’s ability to analyze historical data aids in crucial decision-making processes.
  • Advanced Threat Response: The evolving role of AI in managing drone swarms and other asymmetric threats.

Why It Matters: Understanding the integration of AI into naval operations is crucial for anticipating how future conflicts will be managed and fought. AI not only enhances current capabilities but also opens new avenues in warfare strategy.

Implications for the Navy: Admiral Stavridis’ insights lead into a broader discussion on:

  • The necessity for ongoing training and adaptation among naval personnel to leverage AI effectively.
  • The potential shifts in naval strategy as AI technologies mature, particularly in terms of autonomous decision-making and real-time strategy adjustments.
  • Ethical and security considerations as AI becomes a pivotal element in defense.

Interview: CNN ZAKARIA and ADM. JAMES STAVRIDIS (RET.), FORMER NATO SUPREME ALLIED COMMANDER

  • CNN ZAKARIA: We humans have a lot to worry about these days, climate change and other pandemic, even the threat of World War Three. But the unregulated development of artificial intelligence might be as potent a threat as any, according to my next guest. He was NATO’s allied commander Eirope. And he’s now vice chair of global affairs at the Carlisle Group. His fascinating new book “2054 Novel,” which he co-wrote with Elliot Ackerman, very talented, is centered on the existential treat AI poses for the future of the world. Jim, pleasure to have you on. Fascinating how you’re writing these series of books. And this one is really about the A.I. race in military affairs. So first, I want to ask you, explain to us the power of A.I.
  • CNN ZAKARIA: So, you’re a — you’re a naval commander, what would A.I. allow you to do as a naval commander that you weren’t able to do when you were actually commanding ships?
  • ADM. JAMES STAVRIDIS (RET.), FORMER NATO SUPREME ALLIED COMMANDER: Let me give you three very practical things. Number one — and it doesn’t sound sexy, but it’s logistics and maintenance. Artificial Intelligence has a capability to predict when a particular set of maintenance functions are needed, make sure that the spare parts are in train, all of that done in a way that is much more efficient, much more capable.
  • ZAKARIA: But that’s huge because it keeps the ships in permanent readiness.
  • STAVRIDIS: Absolutely. We always say in the military, the amateurs are the ones talking about strategy. The professionals are focused on logistics. That’s what wins wars.
  • But number two, artificial intelligence will allow a commander — say I was the captain of a destroyer, which I was. If I had an A.I. advising me, plugged into my decision process, that A.I. will have access to every naval battle ever fought. It would be capable of scanning the horizon of history and whispering into the commander, you really ought to think about this.
  • And then third and finally, and we’re seeing the edges of this in Ukraine, drone, swarms, bringing them together in very lethal ways. We currently can’t quite do that. Artificial intelligence will make swarming drones the greatest threat by mid-century.
  • ZAKARIA: You talk a lot about the A.I. race and it’s really U.S. versus China.
  • STAVRIDIS: Yes.
  • ZAKARIA: Who’s ahead?
  • STAVRIDIS: U.S. marginally ahead. Our mutual friend, Eric Schmidt, did a marvelous set of research on this a couple of years ago, and he would have said then, we’re about a year ahead of China.
  • My sense from my sources, China is closing that gap. This is the foot race that will determine geopolitical superiority by mid-century.
  • ZAKARIA: Are we building the right kind of military for that kind of world?
  • STAVRIDIS: Absolutely. And let me add another example in terms of drones versus naval. Look what’s happening in the Black Sea. The Russian Black Sea fleet a third of it is on the bottom of the Black Sea, drinking seawater as we would say in the business.
  • Why? Not because Ukraine has a Navy, they don’t. It’s because the Ukrainians have used both air and surface drones. So, to your question
  • ZAKARIA: Drones are amazing. The minister showed them to me. They looked like toy boats —
  • STAVRIDIS: Yes.
  • ZAKARIA: — and they are really highly lethal drones that can sink these hundred — hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of warships.
  • STAVRIDIS: Correct. And so, the question then becomes, are the carriers still viable? I think they are for the moment, for the tenure future, 15-year future. Boy, you get much beyond that. And the capacity of massive swarms of drones accompanied by cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, all linked together by artificial intelligence, it will make those crown jewels of the fleet, our aircraft carriers vulnerable.
  • ZAKARIA: So, you’ve — you’ve held very, very high military office. And you know that there are some people who worry that Donald Trump, where he to be elected again, would politicize the military. Do you worry about that?
  • STAVRIDIS: I do. And I think that the greatest aspect of our national security isn’t a political military. And we would edge in to politics into that force at great peril to the republic. At the moment, all of my contacts in the active-duty military reassure me that the military continues to regard itself as apolitical, followers of the constitution. Let’s hope it stays that way.
  • ZAKARIA: And when you look at NATO, you were the former supreme allied commander, great, great title, by the way, there are people in Europe who worry a lot about Trump and NATO. And what I’ve heard people say is it’s — he doesn’t have to pull out of NATO. He just has to say, I’m not going to defend Latvia, Lithuania —
  • STAVRIDIS: Estonia.
  • ZAKARIA: Right. Because it’s a sort of — in some ways the whole — NATO is basically — it’s a psychological game. It’s the thread is psychological that the U.S. will get involved. That’s what Putin has to be calculating. And if the president says something like that — the NATO — the building can continue, the meetings can continue, but the heart of it is lost.
  • STAVRIDIS: We always say deterrence is the combination of capability and credibility.
  • NATO is incredibly capable. The defense budget of the United States and the Europeans together is well over 10 times that of Russia. The population is well over five times the size of Russia.
  • So, the capability is not the problem. You’ve put your finger on it, it’s the credibility. And yes, I would be very concerned about a Trump presidency that did not actively support and, indeed, lead within NATO. That’s a real concern.
  • ZAKARIA: From the former supreme allied commander of NATO.
  • STAVRIDIS: My pleasure, Fareed.
  • ZAKARIA: Thank you, sir.
  • STAVRIDIS: Thank you.

Further Viewing

Carrie Council interview with Elliot Ackerman and Admiral Stavridis:

Outro

Thank you for joining us for the first episode of our series. Don’t forget to subscribe to our podcast on your favorite platform to ensure you don’t miss any of our discussions on the future of naval warfare. Together, we aim to keep you informed and engaged with the latest in naval defense technology.