China Just Escalated in a BIG Way: A Closer Look at Recent Provocations

Bill Cullifer, Founder
Bill Cullifer, Founder

Brent Sadler, a former US Navy Captain, recently shed light on a significant escalation in the South China Sea. For months, China has been interfering with Philippine resupply operations to Second Thomas Shoal, employing tactics such as water cannons, shouldering, and forcefully towing vessels. These aggressive actions have resulted in severe injuries and damage to Philippine vessels.

A Line Drawn in the Sand

The seriousness of these provocations cannot be overstated. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. highlighted the gravity of the situation, stating, “If a Filipino citizen was killed by a willful act, that is very close to what we define as an act of war.” Such a statement underscores the potential for these incidents to escalate into a broader conflict.

China’s actions have not gone unnoticed on the international stage. The 2016 international arbitration found China in violation of several articles of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, specifically regarding their obligation to settle disputes peacefully, respect the finality and binding force of decisions, and act in good faith.

The Risk of Escalation

The most recent incident, which resulted in severe injury to a Philippine sailor and damage to several vessels, risks triggering the U.S.-Philippines mutual defense treaty. This treaty obligates the U.S. to respond if Philippine forces are attacked, marking a potential serious escalation in the region.

The U.S. must respond forcefully to this provocation to signal the danger of China’s continued actions. Anything less than a clear military signal combined with forceful diplomacy will likely see the cycle of violence continue to escalate.

Details of the Incident

On June 17, 2024, during a resupply mission to the BRP Sierra Madre (LT-57) outpost at Second Thomas Shoal, Chinese Coast Guard vessels 21555 and 21551 used water cannons and dangerous maneuvers to block Philippine vessels. This resulted in severe injuries to a Philippine sailor and significant damage to the vessels involved. This marks the third instance of Philippine personnel being injured by Chinese forces during resupply missions to Second Thomas Shoal.

Despite the severity of the incident, the Philippine government has yet to release detailed imagery or a timeline of events, unlike previous incidents. Meanwhile, Chinese state media justified their actions, blaming the Philippine side for the collision.

International and Domestic Reactions

The Pentagon condemned the Chinese actions, reaffirming support for the Philippines and highlighting the mutual defense treaty that could be invoked in response to these provocations. “We stand with our Philippine allies and condemn the escalatory and irresponsible actions by the PRC,” reads a statement from the Office of the Secretary of Defense.

Philippine government releases have condemned the dangerous maneuvers by Chinese forces, although they have not detailed the extent of the injuries or damage.

A Call for Vigilance

As these tensions escalate, it is crucial for the international community to remain vigilant and responsive to these provocations. The stability of the South China Sea is essential for global commerce and regional security, and unchecked aggression must not be tolerated.

Americans for a Stronger Navy’s Position

China’s recent actions in the South China Sea represent a serious threat to regional stability and international law. We stand firmly with our Philippine allies and urge the United States and the international community to respond decisively to these provocations. The safety of our allies and the security of maritime operations are paramount.

Debunking the USS Eisenhower Damage Claims After Houthi Strike Allegations

Introduction

In the realm of modern conflict, misinformation spreads almost as rapidly as the events themselves. A recent case involves claims by Yemeni Houthi rebels that they successfully struck the U.S. aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea. These assertions were quickly debunked by multiple sources, yet they highlight the challenge of distinguishing fact from fiction in real-time.

The Allegations

Last Friday, Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree announced that missile strikes had targeted the USS Eisenhower. This announcement was followed by a second claim the next day, suggesting a “second targeting operation against the carrier during the past 24 hours” according to Reuters.

Thek Spread of Misinformation

Following these announcements, images began circulating online purporting to show the damage inflicted on the Eisenhower. A notable post on X (formerly Twitter) by user @iAmTheWarax claimed, “CONFIRMED: uss eisenhower (pictured docked for repairs in souda bay) hit and severely damaged by multiple houthi ballistic missiles.” This post included a satellite picture of a docked ship. Another post by @Alhussaini21S, viewed over 2.6 million times, showed what appeared to be an aircraft carrier with a large black mark on its runway.

The Reality

A thorough fact-check by Newsweek dismantled these claims. The images shared were not of the Eisenhower in the Red Sea. One image was of the Russian aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov docked in Murmansk, Russia. The other was a doctored image of the Eisenhower docked in Norfolk, Virginia. The Pentagon confirmed there had been no strikes on the Eisenhower or the Norfolk port.

Further, Chinese satellite images dated June 4 showed the USS Eisenhower moving southward in the Red Sea without any visible damage, reinforcing the Pentagon’s position.

The Broader Context

The conflict between the Houthis and the Saudi-led coalition, supported by the U.S. and the U.K., has been ongoing since 2015. The recent Houthi claims emerged as part of retaliatory actions against strikes conducted by U.S. and U.K. forces on Houthi positions in Yemen.

Despite the assertions of direct hits on the Eisenhower and its escorts, U.S. Central Command reported that all Houthi munitions had been intercepted. No damage or injuries were reported on any U.S. vessel, further debunking the Houthi’s claims.

Conclusion

In an age where misinformation can easily overshadow reality, it is crucial to rely on verified sources and official statements. The false claims regarding the USS Eisenhower underscore the importance of critical evaluation of news, especially during conflicts. The Eisenhower remains operational, continuing its mission in the Red Sea, undeterred by the baseless allegations of damage.

By staying informed through credible sources, we can better navigate the complexities of modern-day conflicts and the accompanying flood of information, both true and false.

A Call for Unity and Urgency: Addressing America’s Security Challenges

In his recent piece, “America Hits the Global Snooze Button” in The Wall Street Journal, Walter Russell Mead, the James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College and a scholar at the Hudson Institute underscores the critical nature of current global threats, echoing a sentiment that I wholeheartedly share. The urgency cannot be overstated: China’s aggressive expansion, Russia’s advances in Ukraine, and Iran’s destabilizing actions in the Middle East constitute a significant and multifaceted threat to global stability. This demands stronger U.S. armed forces to counter these threats effectively.

The situation around Taiwan, the South China Sea and the Philippines exemplifies the complexities we face. China’s assertive territorial claims and militarization of the region threaten not only our allies but also global trade routes. It necessitates a stronger U.S. naval presence and support for regional partners. The Middle East is increasingly volatile and involves contested waters of the eastern Mediterranean, the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf.  The U.S. Navy is the only effective naval force to counter the threats there and it is stretched thin.

Moreover, it is alarming to consider that our defense systems have potentially been compromised, which could be construed as an act of war. Yet, many Americans remain oblivious to these dangers, and who can blame them? After decades of conflict with little to show for it, the American public feels disillusioned, cheated, and exhausted. They see corruption and self-interest within the military-industrial complex and feel that politicians are complicit in perpetuating these issues.

The prevailing sentiment of mistrust extends to the government itself. Some argue for a more isolationist approach, focusing solely on defending our shores, while others, particularly younger generations, feel disenfranchised and disconnected from these geopolitical issues. This disconnect is further exacerbated by a widespread lack of historical knowledge, a consequence of its declining emphasis in our education system.

The threat of Chinese cyberattacks on global infrastructure is a significant concern. Chinese state-sponsored hacking has emerged as a critical global threat, targeting vital infrastructure across multiple nations. Recent reports reveal that Chinese military hackers have infiltrated Japan’s defense networks since 2020, accessing classified information about military capabilities and strategic plans. This breach, discovered by the U.S. National Security Agency, highlights the deep and persistent nature of Chinese cyber espionage. Despite efforts to secure these systems, the continued breaches underscore the sophistication and persistence of Chinese cyber capabilities. Additionally, China-based hackers have targeted U.S. government agencies, including the State and Commerce Departments, and critical sectors like transportation and utilities. These attacks are part of a broader strategy to gain access to sensitive information and disrupt vital infrastructure.

Additionally, recent reports indicate a troubling rise in cyberattacks against our critical infrastructure, including water supplies, by actors linked to China, Russia, and Iran. These cyberattacks do not just target water utilities but extend to other critical infrastructure, telecommunications networks, and security systems. They can disrupt access to essential services, steal intellectual property, and undermine our trade networks. The increasing frequency and sophistication of these attacks pose a significant threat to our national security and economic stability.

While Mead raises valid points about the severity of the threats we face, his politicization of the issue is counterproductive. The truth is, there is ample blame to go around, and what we need now more than ever is education and transparency. Americans deserve to understand the stakes and be assured of the integrity of those advocating for stronger defense measures. This is not a right versus left issue—it’s an American issue that requires a united, all-hands-on-deck approach.

A key mission of Americans for a Stronger Navy is to educate the public about these security challenges and the need for a stronger Navy. By fostering a national dialogue, we can bridge the gap between policymakers and the public, fostering mutual understanding and engagement. It is also crucial to emphasize the need for bipartisan cooperation in addressing these threats. A unified approach is necessary to effectively respond to the complex and evolving global security landscape.

In sum, the threats are indeed formidable, but trust is in short supply. Addressing this requires a commitment to honesty and clarity from our leaders, ensuring that the American public is both informed and engaged in the security decisions that will shape our future.

Thanks for listening.

Bill,
Americans for a Stronger Navy

U.S. Navy Bases Face Growing Threat from Foreign Nationals

Rising Incidents of Unauthorized Access and Espionage

U.S Naval Base Norfolk. VA

The U.S. Navy has been confronting an alarming increase in the number of foreign nationals attempting to access its bases, with incidents occurring two to three times a week. These individuals, often posing as tourists or students, are predominantly Chinese nationals, according to U.S. Fleet Forces Commander Adm. Daryl Caudle. Their frequent unauthorized entries raise significant concerns about national security and espionage.

Recent Arrests and Security Breaches

The most notable incident involved the arrest of a Chinese national at the 29 Palms Marine Corps Base in March. This individual, who had entered the U.S. illegally, bypassed security measures and was eventually detained by military law enforcement before being handed over to Border Patrol agents. This case underscores the persistent and sophisticated nature of these security breaches.

Adm. Caudle emphasized the complexity of discerning the true intentions behind these incursions. While some individuals may genuinely appear to be harmless enthusiasts, the risk of espionage remains high. Two U.S. Navy servicemembers of Chinese origin were recently arrested on espionage charges, further highlighting the gravity of this threat.

U.S. Navy Bases Face Growing Threat from Foreign Nationals

In response to these incidents, the U.S. Navy has intensified its security protocols, involving the Naval Criminal Investigative Service (NCIS) and employing biometric technology whenever possible. Despite these efforts, the sheer volume and persistence of these attempts pose a formidable challenge.

Suspicious drone activities have also been noted as an emerging threat. Commercially available drones, which can be easily acquired, complicate the task of distinguishing between innocent use and potential espionage by foreign entities. The Navy is actively working on enhancing its drone detection and defense capabilities to counter this modern threat.

Implications for National Security

The frequent attempts by foreign nationals to penetrate U.S. military bases underscore a growing and sophisticated espionage effort. The increase in these incidents demands continuous vigilance and advanced security measures to protect sensitive military information and infrastructure.

The U.S. Navy’s proactive stance in addressing these security breaches is crucial in maintaining national security. As these threats evolve, so too must the strategies and technologies employed to counter them. The Navy’s ongoing efforts to enhance base security and develop countermeasures against espionage reflect a critical commitment to safeguarding the nation against foreign threats.

Conclusion

The rising incidents of unauthorized access to U.S. Navy bases by foreign nationals, particularly from China, represent a significant and growing threat. Through enhanced security measures and increased vigilance, the Navy continues to confront these challenges head-on. However, the persistent nature of these attempts calls for continuous innovation and adaptation in security protocols to ensure the protection of national security interests.


Navigational Freedom and National Security: The Importance of the U.S. Navy’s Taiwan Strait Transit

us navy plane

 

Introduction

The recent flight of a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon through the Taiwan Strait not only reaffirms America’s commitment to navigational freedoms but also highlights the strategic importance of U.S. military presence in key international waterways. This operation comes at a critical time, just a day after high-level defense talks between the United States and China, aiming to mitigate tensions in the region.

Why This Matters

The Taiwan Strait is a vital gateway between the South and East China Seas, making it a focal point of international trade and military strategy. Despite being international waters, China views the transit of foreign military vessels and aircraft through the strait as a challenge to its claims over Taiwan. The U.S. Navy’s actions demonstrate a clear stance on upholding international law and ensuring that these waters remain open to all, a principle that is fundamental to global security and economic stability.

Why America Should Care

As a global leader, the United States has a vested interest in maintaining free and open access to the world’s maritime routes. The freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs) conducted by the U.S. Navy in the Taiwan Strait serve as a deterrence against aggressive territorial claims that threaten to undermine international norms and the global order. These operations also reassure U.S. allies and partners in the region of America’s commitment to security and stability.

Implications for the Navy

Continued operations in the Taiwan Strait are essential for the U.S. Navy in several ways. Strategically, they provide vital reconnaissance and maintain a U.S. presence in key areas, potentially deterring hostile or militaristic actions. Operationally, these missions enhance the Navy’s ability to operate in contested environments, ensuring readiness and capability in response to any regional crises. Politically, they reinforce the U.S. stance on international laws governing maritime navigation, supporting global maritime security.

Conclusion

The transit of the U.S. Navy through the Taiwan Strait is a clear signal of America’s enduring commitment to protecting navigational rights and freedoms for all nations. This operation not only supports international law but also underscores the crucial role of naval power in achieving U.S. strategic objectives. As tensions continue to manifest in the Asia-Pacific, the strength and presence of the U.S. Navy remain key to maintaining a balance in the region, ensuring that the seas remain open and free for all. Through steadfast and visible actions like these, the U.S. Navy not only defends its own national security interests but also upholds those of the free world.


 

Charting the Course: Steering Through Rising Tides – The Imperative for Strategic Vigilance

Chineese Navy guided-missile destroyer Xian – USNavy

Introduction:

In our ongoing series “Charting the Course: Navigating the Future of U.S. Naval Power in the Face of Chinese Challenges,” we continue to unravel the intricate tapestry of geopolitical maneuvers and military posturing that defines the current state of affairs in the Indo-Pacific region.

Last week, we laid the groundwork by examining the overarching themes of China’s maritime ambitions and their implications for global maritime security.

This week, we delve deeper into recent developments that further underscore the urgency and complexity of the challenges at hand.

Building upon our previous discussions, this installment aims to shed light on the escalating tensions in the South China Sea, particularly through the lens of a recent incident involving the Chinese coast guard and a Taiwanese tourist boat, as well as the broader implications of China’s unprecedented military buildup.

Join us as we navigate these turbulent waters, seeking pathways toward strategic vigilance and collaborative security in an increasingly contested domain.

Recent Developments and Escalating Tensions: A concerning incident reported by Reuters on February 19, 2024, involved Chinese coast guard personnel boarding a Taiwanese tourist boat near the Taiwan-controlled Kinmen islands. This escalation, following China’s announcement to strengthen law enforcement activity in the area, highlights the growing tensions near these frontline islands. The Taiwanese coast guard’s response, calling for peace and rationality, reflects the precarious balance in the region (“China coast guard boarded Taiwanese boat near frontline islands, Taiwan says,” Reuters, by Yimou Lee and Ben Blanchard).

Simultaneously, the rapid military buildup by China, described by U.S. Navy Adm. John Aquilino as unprecedented since World War II, brings into sharp focus the strategic timeline that China might be operating under. Aquilino’s warning, as reported by Matthew Loh in Insider on March 20, 2024, that China could be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027, demands a reassessment of strategic priorities and preparedness measures (“China is building its military on a ‘scale not seen since WWII’ and is on track to be able to invade Taiwan by 2027: US admiral,” Insider).

Implications for the Navy: These developments highlight the imperative for the U.S. Navy to enhance its strategic readiness and adaptability. The prospect of increased confrontations in the South China Sea, combined with the looming possibility of a more significant conflict over Taiwan, necessitates a robust and forward-looking naval strategy. This strategy must account for the multifaceted nature of modern warfare, encompassing not just traditional military capabilities but also cyber, space, and information domains.

The Role of Alliances and Diplomacy: In navigating these turbulent waters, the strength and cohesion of international alliances have never been more critical. Diplomatic efforts must be intensified to de-escalate tensions, promote conflict resolution, and ensure the freedom of navigation in international waters. Building on shared values and mutual security interests, the U.S. must work closely with its allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific to present a united front against unilateral actions that undermine regional stability and international norms.

Advocating for Preparedness and Diplomatic Engagement: As tensions rise, “Americans for a Stronger Navy” advocates for a dual approach that emphasizes both preparedness and diplomatic engagement. Increased investment in the Navy, aimed at ensuring readiness for any contingency, must go hand in hand with a renewed commitment to diplomacy and international cooperation. By fostering open dialogue and collaborative security initiatives, we can work towards a future where peace and stability prevail in the Indo-Pacific and beyond.

Conclusion: The incident near the Kinmen islands and China’s pronounced military buildup serve as stark reminders of the evolving security landscape in the South China Sea and the broader Indo-Pacific region. As we continue to chart our course through these challenging waters, a balanced approach that prioritizes strategic readiness, reinforced alliances, and diplomatic efforts will be essential in safeguarding the principles of freedom and stability that underpin global maritime security.


Rising Tides of Tension: The Strategic Standoff at Scarborough Shoal and Its Implications for U.S. Naval Power

China claims the Scarborough Shoal, although it is inside the Philippines’ 200-nautical mile exclusive economic zone. An international arbitration tribunal in the Hague said in 2016 that China’s claims had no legal basis – a decision Beijing has rejected according to press reports by Reuters

Introduction

Bill Cullifer, Founder

In light of recent developments in the South China Sea, particularly the installation of a floating barrier at the entrance of Scarborough Shoal, our ongoing coverage seeks to delve deeper into the escalating maritime tensions between the Philippines and China. This strategic waterway, vital for international trade and rich in natural resources, continues to be a flashpoint in regional geopolitics, affecting not just the immediate stakeholders but also global maritime norms and security.

Following Our Coverage

Building on our previous discussions around the strengthening of maritime alliances and the pivotal role of the U.S. Navy in maintaining a balance of power in the Indo-Pacific, today’s focus shifts to a more granular incident that epitomizes the complexities of sovereignty disputes in these waters.

The Scarborough Shoal is one of Asia’s most contested maritime features and a flashpoint for diplomatic flare-ups over sovereignty and fishing rights. Here is what you need to know about the hotly contested area.

The recent satellite imagery revealing a floating barrier, presumably installed by China, at a critical juncture of the Scarborough Shoal, underscores the tactical maneuvers being employed to assert territorial claims.

Why Should Americans Care

The South China Sea is a linchpin in global maritime trade, with a significant portion of the world’s commerce transiting through its waters. Any disruption or militarization in this region poses a direct threat to international shipping routes, potentially escalating into broader conflicts that could involve U.S. interests and allies. Moreover, the principles at stake, including freedom of navigation and adherence to international law, are foundational to the global maritime order that the United States has long championed.

Implications for the U.S. Navy

For the U.S. Navy, these developments represent both a challenge and a call to action. Ensuring freedom of navigation in the South China Sea requires not just a robust naval presence but also a nuanced strategy that balances deterrence with diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions. The situation at Scarborough Shoal, and the broader territorial disputes in the region, test the U.S. Navy’s capability to uphold international norms, support allies, and engage in a strategic competition with China.

This independent story not only continues our coverage of the critical issues at play in the South China Sea but also highlights why these developments matter to Americans and the implications for U.S. naval strategy. By focusing on a specific incident within the larger narrative, we aim to provide our readers with a clearer understanding of the stakes involved and the importance of sustained attention and engagement with maritime security issues.

A Sea of Tensions: Understanding the South China Sea Dispute and America’s Naval Imperative

Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) sets anchors in Manila, Philippines. USS Carl Vinson is in the Philippines for a port visit, supporting operational readiness and regional partnerships.

To Members and Friends,

In these rapidly evolving times, the strategic landscape of the South China Sea is more critical than ever to our national security and maritime interests. Recent events in this region, coupled with the burgeoning naval capabilities of our potential adversaries, underline the urgency of our mission at “Americans for a Stronger Navy.”

Rising Tensions in the South China Sea

The South China Sea, a hub of global maritime traffic and rich in resources, has become a focal point for international power dynamics. The U.S. and China have conducted significant military exercises in these waters, signaling the area’s strategic importance. This tense atmosphere was further amplified by a recent collision involving Philippine and Chinese vessels near a disputed reef, highlighting the area’s volatility.

China’s Escalating Naval Dominance

As reported in the Jan. 2 issue of the Wall Street Journal by Seth G. Jones of CSIS, the Chinese navy’s expansion is a cause for concern. Not limited to the sheer number of ships, China’s ominous growth in shipbuilding capacity is particularly alarming. With a staggering capacity of 23 million tons, one Chinese shipyard on Changxing Island alone surpasses the combined capacity of all U.S. shipyards. This disparity in shipbuilding capabilities is a stark reminder of the challenges we face in maintaining our naval strength and readiness.

Global Defense Spending: A Comparative Analysis

In the shadow of these developments, nations like Japan have significantly increased their defense budgets in response to Chinese expansionism.

Japan’s defense allocation now stands at USD 47.7 billion, a 16.5% increase. However, when compared to China’s defense expenditure of USD 292 billion in 2022 (as reported by SIPRI), the imbalance becomes evident.

The United States, with a defense budget of $877 billion, continues to lead in absolute terms, but when viewed as a percentage of GDP, our current spending of 3% is notably lower than historical highs during previous administrations.

Why Should America Care

The implications of these developments extend far beyond the territorial disputes of the South China Sea. They touch upon fundamental aspects of international law, freedom of navigation, and the global balance of power. The United States, with its longstanding commitment to these principles, must view the situation in the South China Sea as a barometer for broader geopolitical shifts.

Conclusion

In light of Seth G. Jones’ report and the ongoing developments in the South China Sea, it’s evident that our mission is more pertinent than ever. The gap in shipbuilding capacity, coupled with the varying levels of defense expenditure globally, highlights the need for a robust and forward-looking U.S. naval strategy. We must advocate for the resources and policies necessary to ensure that our Navy remains capable of meeting these emerging challenges.

As we face these uncertain times, your support and engagement with “Americans for a Stronger Navy” are invaluable. Together, we stand vigilant, advocating for a Navy that is not only strong today but is prepared for the challenges of tomorrow.

For Freedom and Security,
Americans for a Stronger Navy

Fortifying Alliances: Philippine-US Naval Drills Amid South China Sea Tensions

US Navy Photo

The Philippine and US Navy have initiated high-stakes joint maritime drills in the South China Sea, as regional tensions with China continue to escalate. This marks a significant step in defense cooperation between the two nations.

Joint Maritime Exercise Details

The drills, starting on January 3, 2024, are the second such exercise in less than two months, highlighting the increasing frequency and intensity of military cooperation in the face of Chinese assertiveness in the region. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has been actively strengthening defense ties with the US, as well as other allies like Japan and Australia, in response to China’s expansive claims over the South China Sea.

NHK World-Japan has confirmed that the Philippines and the United States began a two-day joint patrol in the South China Sea, underscoring the ongoing dispute in the region​​.

The Japan Times has reported that China conducted navy and air force patrols in the South China Sea, coinciding with the maritime drills by the U.S. and the Philippines in the same

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi has expressed concerns over these developments, indicating “serious difficulties” in Beijing-Manila relations. The exercises included a variety of naval maneuvers and operations, involving multiple vessels and aircraft from both nations, aimed at enhancing interoperability and sending a strong message about the commitment to a rules-based international order and a free and open Indo-Pacific region.

Takeaways

  1. Increased Frequency of Drills: The recent exercises underscore a growing pattern of joint military operations in the region.
  2. Strengthening Alliances: The Philippines is actively enhancing defense relations with the US and other regional powers.
  3. China’s Reaction: China’s response to these drills indicates a growing concern and potential diplomatic strain with the Philippines.
  4. Focus on a Rules-based Order: The drills are a clear message to uphold international maritime laws and freedom of navigation in the contested waters.

The joint maritime exercises between the Philippines and the US represent a significant development in regional defense dynamics. They not only demonstrate the robustness of the Philippine-US alliance but also signify a broader commitment to maintaining stability and a rules-based order in the South China Sea amidst rising tensions.