The recent flight of a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon through the Taiwan Strait not only reaffirms America’s commitment to navigational freedoms but also highlights the strategic importance of U.S. military presence in key international waterways. This operation comes at a critical time, just a day after high-level defense talks between the United States and China, aiming to mitigate tensions in the region.
Why This Matters
The Taiwan Strait is a vital gateway between the South and East China Seas, making it a focal point of international trade and military strategy. Despite being international waters, China views the transit of foreign military vessels and aircraft through the strait as a challenge to its claims over Taiwan. The U.S. Navy’s actions demonstrate a clear stance on upholding international law and ensuring that these waters remain open to all, a principle that is fundamental to global security and economic stability.
Why America Should Care
As a global leader, the United States has a vested interest in maintaining free and open access to the world’s maritime routes. The freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs) conducted by the U.S. Navy in the Taiwan Strait serve as a deterrence against aggressive territorial claims that threaten to undermine international norms and the global order. These operations also reassure U.S. allies and partners in the region of America’s commitment to security and stability.
Implications for the Navy
Continued operations in the Taiwan Strait are essential for the U.S. Navy in several ways. Strategically, they provide vital reconnaissance and maintain a U.S. presence in key areas, potentially deterring hostile or militaristic actions. Operationally, these missions enhance the Navy’s ability to operate in contested environments, ensuring readiness and capability in response to any regional crises. Politically, they reinforce the U.S. stance on international laws governing maritime navigation, supporting global maritime security.
Conclusion
The transit of the U.S. Navy through the Taiwan Strait is a clear signal of America’s enduring commitment to protecting navigational rights and freedoms for all nations. This operation not only supports international law but also underscores the crucial role of naval power in achieving U.S. strategic objectives. As tensions continue to manifest in the Asia-Pacific, the strength and presence of the U.S. Navy remain key to maintaining a balance in the region, ensuring that the seas remain open and free for all. Through steadfast and visible actions like these, the U.S. Navy not only defends its own national security interests but also upholds those of the free world.
Chineese Navy guided-missile destroyer Xian – USNavy
Introduction:
In our ongoing series “Charting the Course: Navigating the Future of U.S. Naval Power in the Face of Chinese Challenges,” we continue to unravel the intricate tapestry of geopolitical maneuvers and military posturing that defines the current state of affairs in the Indo-Pacific region.
This week, we delve deeper into recent developments that further underscore the urgency and complexity of the challenges at hand.
Building upon our previous discussions, this installment aims to shed light on the escalating tensions in the South China Sea, particularly through the lens of a recent incident involving the Chinese coast guard and a Taiwanese tourist boat, as well as the broader implications of China’s unprecedented military buildup.
Join us as we navigate these turbulent waters, seeking pathways toward strategic vigilance and collaborative security in an increasingly contested domain.
Recent Developments and Escalating Tensions: A concerning incident reported by Reuters on February 19, 2024, involved Chinese coast guard personnel boarding a Taiwanese tourist boat near the Taiwan-controlled Kinmen islands. This escalation, following China’s announcement to strengthen law enforcement activity in the area, highlights the growing tensions near these frontline islands. The Taiwanese coast guard’s response, calling for peace and rationality, reflects the precarious balance in the region (“China coast guard boarded Taiwanese boat near frontline islands, Taiwan says,” Reuters, by Yimou Lee and Ben Blanchard).
Simultaneously, the rapid military buildup by China, described by U.S. Navy Adm. John Aquilino as unprecedented since World War II, brings into sharp focus the strategic timeline that China might be operating under. Aquilino’s warning, as reported by Matthew Loh in Insider on March 20, 2024, that China could be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027, demands a reassessment of strategic priorities and preparedness measures (“China is building its military on a ‘scale not seen since WWII’ and is on track to be able to invade Taiwan by 2027: US admiral,” Insider).
Implications for the Navy: These developments highlight the imperative for the U.S. Navy to enhance its strategic readiness and adaptability. The prospect of increased confrontations in the South China Sea, combined with the looming possibility of a more significant conflict over Taiwan, necessitates a robust and forward-looking naval strategy. This strategy must account for the multifaceted nature of modern warfare, encompassing not just traditional military capabilities but also cyber, space, and information domains.
The Role of Alliances and Diplomacy: In navigating these turbulent waters, the strength and cohesion of international alliances have never been more critical. Diplomatic efforts must be intensified to de-escalate tensions, promote conflict resolution, and ensure the freedom of navigation in international waters. Building on shared values and mutual security interests, the U.S. must work closely with its allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific to present a united front against unilateral actions that undermine regional stability and international norms.
Advocating for Preparedness and Diplomatic Engagement: As tensions rise, “Americans for a Stronger Navy” advocates for a dual approach that emphasizes both preparedness and diplomatic engagement. Increased investment in the Navy, aimed at ensuring readiness for any contingency, must go hand in hand with a renewed commitment to diplomacy and international cooperation. By fostering open dialogue and collaborative security initiatives, we can work towards a future where peace and stability prevail in the Indo-Pacific and beyond.
Conclusion: The incident near the Kinmen islands and China’s pronounced military buildup serve as stark reminders of the evolving security landscape in the South China Sea and the broader Indo-Pacific region. As we continue to chart our course through these challenging waters, a balanced approach that prioritizes strategic readiness, reinforced alliances, and diplomatic efforts will be essential in safeguarding the principles of freedom and stability that underpin global maritime security.
Chineese Navy guided-missile destroyer Xian – USNavy
lntroduction
In the “Charting the Course – Navigating the Future of Naval Power” series, we turn our attention to a pressing concern that has significant implications for global security and naval strategy: the potential risks posed by China’s growing assertiveness. Today, we delve into insights from leading experts and military officials who shed light on China’s strategic maneuvers and their impact on the future of naval power.
Why This Matters
The evolving dynamics of global power, particularly China’s ambitious geopolitical agenda, present complex challenges that demand careful consideration and strategic foresight. Understanding these challenges is crucial for formulating robust defense strategies that ensure peace, promote diplomacy, and maintain the freedom of the seas.
Implications for the Navy
The potential for conflict with China, particularly concerning Taiwan and the South China Sea, underscores the need for a well-prepared and resilient naval force. The insights from military leaders, such as Gen. Mike Minihan’s stark prediction of a possible war with China in 2025, highlight the urgency of readiness and the importance of strategic clarity in the face of emerging threats.
Escalating Tensions and Provocative Rhetoric: A Case in Point
As we navigate the intricate challenges posed by China’s strategic ambitions, specific instances underscore the need for vigilance and strategic prudence. A recent example is the provocative suggestion by Col. Dai Xu, a senior Chinese Air Force official, advocating for aggressive tactics against U.S. warships operating in the South China Sea, a region where Beijing asserts expansive territorial claims. During a panel discussion, Col. Dai proposed that in response to U.S. freedom of navigation operations, which challenge China’s claims, Chinese warships should not only intercept but also consider ramming U.S. vessels to deter their presence in these contested waters.
This rhetoric, though reflective of nationalist sentiments, is significant given Col. Dai’s position within the Chinese military and the publication of his remarks by state-controlled media, suggesting a level of endorsement or at least, tolerance by the Chinese government. Such statements, coupled with the ongoing militarization of the South China Sea by China, exemplify the type of confrontational posture that complicates diplomatic efforts and emphasizes the importance of a well-prepared naval force capable of ensuring peace and stability in international waters.
Moreover, Col. Dai’s hawkish stance extends to Taiwan, highlighting the potential for escalated tensions that could have broader implications for regional and even global security. The suggestion of forced reunification with Taiwan, regardless of economic consequences, adds another layer of complexity to the strategic landscape the U.S. Navy and its allies must navigate.
Advocating for Peace, Diplomacy, and Preparedness
In light of such developments, “Americans for a Stronger Navy” reiterates its commitment to advocating for peace and diplomacy as the cornerstone of international relations. We recognize that while diplomatic efforts are paramount, the realities on the ground — exemplified by the rhetoric and actions of figures like Col. Dai Xu — necessitate a posture of readiness and strategic foresight.
Expert Perspectives
In “Are China and the Philippines on a Collision Course?” from the United States Institute of Peace, authors Dean Cheng, Carla Freeman, Ph.D., Brian Harding, and Andrew Scobell, Ph.D., explore the escalating tensions in the South China Sea. They emphasize the need for a strong naval presence to deter aggression and maintain regional stability.
“How Primed for War Is China?” by Michael Beckley and Hal Brands in Foreign Policy examines the likelihood of China initiating conflict, particularly over Taiwan. They argue that risk indicators for such a conflict are alarmingly evident, necessitating a vigilant and prepared naval response.
Kyle Bass, in his CNBC piece “China hawk says Beijing could attack Taiwan by 2024, bringing ‘war to the West’,” discusses the potential for China to assert control over Taiwan by force. Bass’s insights underscore the strategic importance of naval power in deterring aggression and protecting democratic values.
The insights from Col Grant Newsham (Retd.) in “Friends of China have huge influence on Capitol Hill: Grant Newsham” published in The Sunday Guardian, delve into the multifaceted nature of China’s strategy, including political warfare and economic leverage. Newsham’s analysis reveals the depth of China’s influence and the critical need for a unified and strategic response to safeguard national and global interests.
Advocating for Peace, Diplomacy, and Preparedness
While we steadfastly support the principles of peace and diplomacy, the realities of the current geopolitical landscape necessitate a posture of preparedness. We advocate for increased investment in the Navy, not as a means to provoke conflict but as a vital component of a comprehensive strategy to deter aggression, support diplomatic efforts, and uphold international law. This balanced approach ensures that our naval forces remain capable guardians of peace and stability in an increasingly uncertain world.
Conclusion
As we navigate the challenges posed by China’s strategic ambitions, the insights from esteemed experts and military officials provide valuable guidance. Through informed dialogue and strategic investment in our naval capabilities, we can chart a course toward a future where peace, freedom, and security prevail. Engaging with these complex issues is not only a matter of national security but a commitment to the principles that define us as a nation and a global community.
China claims the Scarborough Shoal, although it is inside the Philippines’ 200-nautical mile exclusive economic zone. An international arbitration tribunal in the Hague said in 2016 that China’s claims had no legal basis – a decision Beijing has rejected according to press reports by Reuters
Introduction
Bill Cullifer, Founder
In light of recent developments in the South China Sea, particularly the installation of a floating barrier at the entrance of Scarborough Shoal, our ongoing coverage seeks to delve deeper into the escalating maritime tensions between the Philippines and China. This strategic waterway, vital for international trade and rich in natural resources, continues to be a flashpoint in regional geopolitics, affecting not just the immediate stakeholders but also global maritime norms and security.
Following Our Coverage
Building on our previous discussions around the strengthening of maritime alliances and the pivotal role of the U.S. Navy in maintaining a balance of power in the Indo-Pacific, today’s focus shifts to a more granular incident that epitomizes the complexities of sovereignty disputes in these waters.
The Scarborough Shoal is one of Asia’s most contested maritime features and a flashpoint for diplomatic flare-ups over sovereignty and fishing rights. Here is what you need to know about the hotly contested area.
The recent satellite imagery revealing a floating barrier, presumably installed by China, at a critical juncture of the Scarborough Shoal, underscores the tactical maneuvers being employed to assert territorial claims.
Why Should Americans Care
The South China Sea is a linchpin in global maritime trade, with a significant portion of the world’s commerce transiting through its waters. Any disruption or militarization in this region poses a direct threat to international shipping routes, potentially escalating into broader conflicts that could involve U.S. interests and allies. Moreover, the principles at stake, including freedom of navigation and adherence to international law, are foundational to the global maritime order that the United States has long championed.
Implications for the U.S. Navy
For the U.S. Navy, these developments represent both a challenge and a call to action. Ensuring freedom of navigation in the South China Sea requires not just a robust naval presence but also a nuanced strategy that balances deterrence with diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions. The situation at Scarborough Shoal, and the broader territorial disputes in the region, test the U.S. Navy’s capability to uphold international norms, support allies, and engage in a strategic competition with China.
This independent story not only continues our coverage of the critical issues at play in the South China Sea but also highlights why these developments matter to Americans and the implications for U.S. naval strategy. By focusing on a specific incident within the larger narrative, we aim to provide our readers with a clearer understanding of the stakes involved and the importance of sustained attention and engagement with maritime security issues.
The U.S. Navy is rapidly advancing its unmanned systems program, particularly in the Pacific Ocean, to counter China’s growing threat. This blog post, based on an article by Patrick Tucker in Defense One, highlights the key developments and implications for the future of naval warfare.
Why This Matters:
The potential deployment of “hundreds of thousands” of drones in the Pacific has significant ramifications for regional security, technological warfare, and the future of naval combat.
Takeaways:
Pacific Focus: The U.S. Navy is prioritizing drone development in the Pacific, primarily to deter China from attacking Taiwan.
Large-Scale Deployment: Experiments with unmanned systems in the Middle East and South America are paving the way for large-scale drone deployments in the Pacific.
Logistical Challenges: Integrating and managing tens of thousands of drones presents logistical hurdles that require innovative solutions.
New Capabilities: Drones offer advantages in intelligence gathering, surveillance, and potentially offensive operations.
AI Integration: The Joint Fires Network aims to leverage AI and drones for faster target identification and engagement.
Competition with China: Both the U.S. and China are racing to develop and deploy advanced drone technology, intensifying the technological arms race.
Conclusion:
The U.S. Navy’s drone program marks a significant shift in naval warfare, potentially transforming how future conflicts are fought. This blog serves as a springboard for further discussion and engagement within the Americans for a Stronger Navy community.
Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) sets anchors in Manila, Philippines. USS Carl Vinson is in the Philippines for a port visit, supporting operational readiness and regional partnerships.
To Members and Friends,
In these rapidly evolving times, the strategic landscape of the South China Sea is more critical than ever to our national security and maritime interests. Recent events in this region, coupled with the burgeoning naval capabilities of our potential adversaries, underline the urgency of our mission at “Americans for a Stronger Navy.”
Rising Tensions in the South China Sea
The South China Sea, a hub of global maritime traffic and rich in resources, has become a focal point for international power dynamics. The U.S. and China have conducted significant military exercises in these waters, signaling the area’s strategic importance. This tense atmosphere was further amplified by a recent collision involving Philippine and Chinese vessels near a disputed reef, highlighting the area’s volatility.
China’s Escalating Naval Dominance
As reported in the Jan. 2 issue of the Wall Street Journal by Seth G. Jones of CSIS, the Chinese navy’s expansion is a cause for concern. Not limited to the sheer number of ships, China’s ominous growth in shipbuilding capacity is particularly alarming. With a staggering capacity of 23 million tons, one Chinese shipyard on Changxing Island alone surpasses the combined capacity of all U.S. shipyards. This disparity in shipbuilding capabilities is a stark reminder of the challenges we face in maintaining our naval strength and readiness.
Global Defense Spending: A Comparative Analysis
In the shadow of these developments, nations like Japan have significantly increased their defense budgets in response to Chinese expansionism.
Japan’s defense allocation now stands at USD 47.7 billion, a 16.5% increase. However, when compared to China’s defense expenditure of USD 292 billion in 2022 (as reported by SIPRI), the imbalance becomes evident.
The United States, with a defense budget of $877 billion, continues to lead in absolute terms, but when viewed as a percentage of GDP, our current spending of 3% is notably lower than historical highs during previous administrations.
Why Should America Care
The implications of these developments extend far beyond the territorial disputes of the South China Sea. They touch upon fundamental aspects of international law, freedom of navigation, and the global balance of power. The United States, with its longstanding commitment to these principles, must view the situation in the South China Sea as a barometer for broader geopolitical shifts.
Conclusion
In light of Seth G. Jones’ report and the ongoing developments in the South China Sea, it’s evident that our mission is more pertinent than ever. The gap in shipbuilding capacity, coupled with the varying levels of defense expenditure globally, highlights the need for a robust and forward-looking U.S. naval strategy. We must advocate for the resources and policies necessary to ensure that our Navy remains capable of meeting these emerging challenges.
As we face these uncertain times, your support and engagement with “Americans for a Stronger Navy” are invaluable. Together, we stand vigilant, advocating for a Navy that is not only strong today but is prepared for the challenges of tomorrow.
For Freedom and Security, Americans for a Stronger Navy
The Philippine and US Navy have initiated high-stakes joint maritime drills in the South China Sea, as regional tensions with China continue to escalate. This marks a significant step in defense cooperation between the two nations.
Joint Maritime Exercise Details
The drills, starting on January 3, 2024, are the second such exercise in less than two months, highlighting the increasing frequency and intensity of military cooperation in the face of Chinese assertiveness in the region. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has been actively strengthening defense ties with the US, as well as other allies like Japan and Australia, in response to China’s expansive claims over the South China Sea.
NHK World-Japan has confirmed that the Philippines and the United States began a two-day joint patrol in the South China Sea, underscoring the ongoing dispute in the region.
The Japan Times has reported that China conducted navy and air force patrols in the South China Sea, coinciding with the maritime drills by the U.S. and the Philippines in the same
China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi has expressed concerns over these developments, indicating “serious difficulties” in Beijing-Manila relations. The exercises included a variety of naval maneuvers and operations, involving multiple vessels and aircraft from both nations, aimed at enhancing interoperability and sending a strong message about the commitment to a rules-based international order and a free and open Indo-Pacific region.
Takeaways
Increased Frequency of Drills: The recent exercises underscore a growing pattern of joint military operations in the region.
Strengthening Alliances: The Philippines is actively enhancing defense relations with the US and other regional powers.
China’s Reaction: China’s response to these drills indicates a growing concern and potential diplomatic strain with the Philippines.
Focus on a Rules-based Order: The drills are a clear message to uphold international maritime laws and freedom of navigation in the contested waters.
The joint maritime exercises between the Philippines and the US represent a significant development in regional defense dynamics. They not only demonstrate the robustness of the Philippine-US alliance but also signify a broader commitment to maintaining stability and a rules-based order in the South China Sea amidst rising tensions.
An open letter to America from Americans for a Stronger Navy
About Me
As the founder of Americans for a Stronger Navy and a former member of the United States Navy, I have witnessed firsthand the profound impact that the Navy has on individuals, communities, and our nation. My experience in the Navy was not merely a commitment of time; it profoundly deepened my appreciation and respect for the dedication and sacrifice of those who serve and significantly reshaped my worldview.
Serving in the Navy, I learned the importance of self-discipline, collaborating effectively with others, and adaptability. These values, along with fair play, were not mere abstract concepts but daily practices that guided us through challenging times. They fostered in me a newly found appreciation for the value of unity and respect for tradition.
The sense of shared purpose and my commitment to these values, experienced during my service in the Navy, have been compelling reasons for establishing Americans for a Stronger Navy. This initiative is crucial in addressing the need to advocate for and strengthen our naval forces amidst rising global threats and the safeguarding of critical infrastructure.
About Americans for a Stronger Navy
This organization is not just an education foundation and advocacy group; it is a tribute to the men and women who have served and continue to serve in our Navy. It represents our collective effort to ensure that our Navy remains strong, not just in terms of military might, but as a beacon of hope, freedom, and peace through strength.
We support and promote the Navy’s values and achievements, and encourage people to join or volunteer to support the Navy. We also educate and inform the public about the importance and relevance of the Navy and its role in the world. We believe that a strong Navy is essential for our national security, our global leadership, and our prosperity.
About the Army-Navy Game
The Army-Navy game, an event I hold dear, encapsulates these values and traditions. It’s more than a game; it’s a celebration of our military’s spirit and dedication. As I watched this year’s game, I was reminded of my days in the Navy, the sense of pride and the responsibility it entailed. This game is a vivid representation of the excellence, discipline, and teamwork cultivated in our service members, traits that are essential both on and off the field.
As we reflect on the Army-Navy game of 2023, set against the backdrop of significant historical milestones and current national achievements, it’s a reminder of the enduring legacy and relevance of our naval service. This game, and our ongoing efforts, are not just about supporting the Navy; they are about upholding the values that define us as a nation and as individuals committed to cause greater than ourselves.
The Army-Navy Game 2023: A Win for Both Teams and for America
Dear America,
We are Americans for a Stronger Navy, a group that advocates for a robust U.S. Navy, and believes in peace through strength. We are writing to you today to share our perspective and insights on the Army-Navy game 2023, and to congratulate both teams for a great game.
The game was also a close and exciting one, with both teams showing their skills and spirit. The final score was Army 17, Navy 11. We are proud of our service members and their performance and achievements in the game. We respect and appreciate the players and the teams, and their values and ethics. We thank everyone who supported and cheered for our sailors and soldiers, and we look forward to the next game in 2024.
The game was also a win for the spirit and tradition of the Army-Navy game, as it reflects the values and culture of the military academies and the armed forces. The game is more than just a sporting event, it is a symbol of the honor and duty that the Navy and the Army uphold and embody. It is also a testament to the sportsmanship, the sense of community, and the pride that the Navy and the Army share and inspire.
One of the most touching and inspiring moments of the game was the tradition of singing the alma mater of both schools at the end of the game, and how it showed sportsmanship and unity among the players and the fans.
The tradition also shows the resilience and determination of the players and the teams, who faced many challenges and difficulties during the pandemic, such as limited practice time, frequent testing, and strict protocols. As former Army coach Bob Sutton said, “They’ve gone through more than any other team in America to play this game. They’ve had to do things that most of us can’t even imagine. And yet they’ve done it with such class and such dignity.”
The game also shows the modernization and innovation of the Navy and the Army, and how they are working together to achieve a common goal, and how they are leveraging the latest technology and innovation to enhance their capabilities and performance. The game also shows how the Navy and the Army are collaborating with our allies and partners, and how they are contributing to our national security, our global leadership, and our prosperity.
One of the most exciting and promising developments in this regard is the Joint All-Domain Command and Control (JADC2) concept, which the Department of Defense has developed to connect sensors from all branches of the military into a unified network powered by artificial intelligence JADC2 is intended to provide the warfighting capability to sense, make sense, and act at all levels and phases of war, across all domains, and with partners, to deliver information advantage at the speed of relevance.
JADC2 is a game-changer for the Navy and the Army, as it will enable them to operate more effectively and efficiently in all operational domains, across echelons, and with our mission partners. JADC2 will also allow them to use automation, artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, and machine learning to improve their decision making and performance in the game and in the battlefield.
The Department of Defense has recently released the JADC2 Implementation Plan, which outlines the vision, goals, objectives, and actions for achieving JADC2 by 2028 . The plan also describes the JADC2 strategy, which consists of four lines of effort: developing joint warfighting concepts and processes, delivering joint network and transport capabilities, integrating joint fires and effects, and advancing joint information advantage.
The Navy and the Army are actively involved in the JADC2 efforts, and have demonstrated their commitment and readiness to implement the JADC2 concept. For example, the Navy has conducted several experiments and exercises to test and evaluate its JADC2 capabilities, such as the Project Overmatch, the Trident Warrior, and the Valiant Shield. The Army has also conducted several experiments and exercises to test and evaluate its JADC2 capabilities, such as the Project Convergence, the Joint Warfighting Assessment, and the Defender Europe.
We are impressed and inspired by the Navy and the Army’s JADC2 achievements, and we are confident that they will continue to lead and excel in this domain. We believe that JADC2 is not only a vital component of our national defense, but also a reflection of our national values and identity. JADC2 represents our ability to join forces across all domains and with allies, and to use the best of our technology and innovation to protect and advance our interests and ideals.
We hope that you are as excited and proud of the Navy and the Army’s JADC2 efforts as we are. We hope that you will join us in supporting and cheering for the Navy and the Army in the next game, and in the future. We hope that you will also consider donating or volunteering for the Navy or the Army, or joining or recommending the Navy or the Army as a career option. We hope that you will also recognize and appreciate the impact and benefits of JADC2 for the Navy and the nation, and how it showcases the strength and excellence of the naval service.
We are Americans for a Stronger Navy, and we believe in peace through strength. We are proud of our Navy, and we are proud of our country. Go Navy, Beat Army!
Boats collide in South China Sea’s disputed waters. image from video from BBC.
Members and friends of the Americans for a Stronger Navy.
Today, I want to share with you a news story that is relevant and important for the future of U.S. naval power and our alliance with the Philippines.
Key takeaways
• Biden warns China. President Joe Biden has warned China that the US will defend the Philippines in case of any attack in the disputed South China Sea. The comments come days after two collisions between Filipino and Chinese vessels in the contested waters. Mr Biden reiterated his “ironclad” defense commitment to the Philippines under the Mutual Defense Treaty, which binds the US and the Philippines to defend each other in the event of an armed attack.
• Philippines contests China’s claims The Philippines has contested China’s claims to most of the South China Sea, which are based on a vague historical map known as the nine-dash line. The Philippines has also cut floating barriers and invited media to film what it calls Beijing’s dangerous moves at sea. The Philippines says that China’s “dangerous manoeuvres” have led to a collision between a China coast guard ship and a Filipino supply boat, and another incident where a Chinese militia boat “bumped” a Philippine coast guard vessel. The Filipino boats were on their way to a crumbling navy warship that Manila has marooned at the Second Thomas Shoal to reinforce its claims.
• Congress critical to AUKUS success Mr Biden also urged Congress to approve this year legislative proposals related to AUKUS, the defense technology partnership with Australia and Britain that involves supplying Australia with nuclear-powered submarines. Mr Biden said that AUKUS would enhance the US-Australia-UK partnership in developing and sharing advanced technologies, such as cyber, artificial intelligence, quantum technologies, and undersea capabilities. The legislative proposals include authorizing transfer of submarines to Australia, allowing maintenance of US submarines in Australia and Britain, authorizing Australian funding for US shipyards and training of Australian workers, and streamlining defense trade between AUKUS partners.
Why this matters
This news story matters because it shows that the US is committed to maintaining its presence and influence in the South China Sea, which is a vital waterway for global trade, security, and stability.
The South China Sea is also a flashpoint for potential conflict between China and its neighbors, especially the Philippines, which is an important strategic ally of the US. The US Navy has been conducting freedom of navigation operations and joint exercises with its allies and partners in the region to challenge China’s claims and actions.
The US has also been pursuing new initiatives, such as AUKUS, to enhance its naval capabilities and cooperation with its allies.
Why Americans should care
Americans should care about this news story because it affects their national interests and values. The South China Sea is not only a strategic waterway, but also a rich source of natural resources, such as fish, oil, gas, and minerals. The US has an interest in ensuring that these resources are shared equitably and peacefully among the claimant states, and not monopolized by China. The US also has an interest in upholding international law and norms, such as freedom of navigation and overflight, peaceful resolution of disputes, and respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity. The US also has an interest in strengthening its alliances and partnerships in the region, such as with the Philippines, Australia, and Britain, which share its democratic values and vision for a free and open Indo-Pacific.
Taiwan is a small island nation off the coast of China, with a population of about 23 million people and a land area of about 14,000 square miles. It is also one of the most important and contentious issues in global security, especially for the United States and its Navy.
Taiwan’s History and Status
Taiwan has a complex and contested history with China, which claims Taiwan as part of its territory and vows to reunify with it by force if necessary. Taiwan, on the other hand, has developed its own identity and democracy, and seeks to maintain its autonomy and sovereignty. The United States has been Taiwan’s main ally and protector since 1979, when it established the Taiwan Relations Act, which commits the United States to provide Taiwan with arms sales and assistance, and to help Taiwan defend itself against any threats or attacks.
However, the United States has also maintained a policy of strategic ambiguity on Taiwan, which means that it neither promises nor rules out military intervention in case of a Chinese attack. This policy is intended to deter both China and Taiwan from taking any provocative or unilateral actions that could destabilize the status quo and trigger a war. However, this policy also creates uncertainty and confusion for both sides, as well as for the United States itself.
Taiwan as a Tipping Point
In his recent speech at the Global Security Forum ’23, Professor James Holmes, a professor of strategy at the Naval War College and a nonresident fellow at the University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs, addressed the question of whether Taiwan will be a tipping point in global security. He defined a tipping point as a change of state that involves cause and effect and time. He used the metaphor of a boiling point to illustrate his definition, and he explained how human beings can regulate changes of state by adjusting the heat or pressure in a system.
He then applied his definition and metaphor to the case of Taiwan, which he considered to be a potential flashpoint between the United States and China. He argued that Taiwan is not yet at a tipping point, but it could be if certain conditions are met. He identified three conditions that could trigger a tipping point:
(1) China decides to use force to reunify with Taiwan;
(2) the United States decides to intervene militarily to defend Taiwan; and
(3) Taiwan decides to declare formal independence from China.
He analyzed each of these conditions and evaluated their likelihood and consequences. He concluded that none of them are very likely or desirable, but they are not impossible or unthinkable either. He warned that miscalculation, misperception, or miscommunication could lead to an escalation or a crisis that could push Taiwan over the tipping point. He also cautioned that domestic politics, public opinion, and media influence could affect the decision-making process of the actors involved.
How to Prevent or Manage Tipping Point
He then offered some recommendations on how to prevent or manage a tipping point in Taiwan. He suggested that the United States should maintain its strategic ambiguity on Taiwan, which means that it should neither promise nor rule out military intervention in case of a Chinese attack. He also advised that the United States should strengthen its deterrence and diplomacy vis-à-vis China, which means that it should bolster its military presence and capabilities in the region, as well as engage in dialogue and cooperation with China on areas of common interest. He also proposed that the United States should support Taiwan’s security and democracy, which means that it should provide arms sales and assistance to Taiwan, as well as encourage its participation in international organizations and forums.
Why Taiwan Matters For America’s Interests and Values
Why should Americans care about Taiwan? Because Taiwan matters for America’s interests and values, as well as for its Navy’s missions and objectives. Taiwan is an important economic partner and trading partner for the United States, with bilateral trade worth over $100 billion in 2020. Taiwan is also an important democratic ally and friend for the United States, sharing common ideals and principles such as freedom, human rights, and rule of law. Taiwan is also an important strategic partner and asset for the United States, helping to balance China’s power and influence in Asia-Pacific.
Why Taiwan Matters for America’s Navy
Taiwan is also crucial for America’s Navy, which has been operating in the western Pacific for over 70 years. The Navy’s role is to protect U.S. interests and allies in the region, as well as to ensure freedom of navigation and access to the global commons. The Navy’s presence is also meant to deter China from using force or coercion against its neighbors, especially Taiwan. The Navy’s capabilities are also essential for responding to any contingency or crisis involving Taiwan, whether it is humanitarian assistance or military intervention.
Taiwan is not only an island nation; it is also an idea worth defending. It represents what America stands for: democracy, liberty, and peace. It also represents what America needs: a strong Navy that can protect its interest and values around the world.
Conclusion
We are the Americans for a Stronger Navy and we advocate for Peace Through Strength. We believe that a strong navy is the best guarantee of peace and security in the maritime domain.
We believe that a strong Navy is the best deterrent against aggression and coercion by our adversaries. We also believe that a strong Navy is the best instrument of diplomacy and cooperation with our allies and partners.
We stand with our sailors and their families during this difficult time. We support them with our words and deeds. We thank them for their dedication and sacrifice. We hope that they will receive their due respect and reward soon.
We are the Americans for a Stronger Navy, and we say: “Don’t give up the ship!”
